Saturday, June 22, 2013

The Indian Dollar Story


We all are talking about depreciation of Rupee, stating that it’s falling like the character of the present Cabinet. We all know many Cabinet ministers in the present government have resigned or sacked because of depreciation in their honesty. I checked the contribution of our great economist PM in falling of Rupee and found that Mr. Economist have a good record in past too. Let me assure the  Rupee will come back at 54 per dollar before a month of election, as you have seen RBI not getting in action to control, the reason is black money will come for election purpose, will increase demand of Rupee in comparison to Dollar.

Year
Rs / Dollar
Government
Details
1990
17.50

1991
22.72
Manmohan Singh as Finance Minister in Congress Government
Even after so called liberalization and boasting of Manmohan Singh economic policy, the depreciation was 56.33% (22.72 - 35.52 = 12.80 ) or in other words depreciation of  Rs. 2.56 per year
1992
28.14
1993
31.36
1994
31.39
1995
32.53
1996
35.52
1997
36.36

1998
41.33
BJP Government in Centre
The USD/ INR was 41.33, even after Nuclear Test and US Economic Sanction the depreciation was only 9.55% in 6 years ( From 41.33 - 45.28 = 3.95 ) Or in other words depreciation of 0.65 paisa per year
1999
43.12
2000
45.00
2001
47.13
2002
48.62
2003
46.50
2004
45.28
2005
44.01
Manmohan Singh as Prime Minister in Congress Government
The USD/ INR was 45.28, and Congress Economist PM by his policy has made it 59.68 ( 20th June, 2013 ) a depreciation of 31.80 % ( 45.28 - 59.68 = 14.40 )  in 9 years Or in other words depreciation of  Rs.1.60 per year. The Congress government has still One year in their hand, only God knows or the present Economist PM how much they will depreciate the INR. As per past experience ( 1991 - 1996 ) Rs. should be 96.29 per USD, then only PM will touch his performance, which he did as Finance Minister
2006
45.17
2007
41.30
2008
43.41
2009
48.32
2010
45.75
2011
46.61
2012
53.34
2013
59.68

Average annual currency exchange rate for the Indian Rupee (Rupees per U.S. Dollar) is shown in the table above